I generally steer away from any detailed analysis of Old Testament prophetic texts because so much of their interpretation depends on individual scholars' predisposition and theological stance. Thus, theological skeptics found in many mainstream Protestant denominations hold to the belief that there can be no such thing as true biblical prophecy. Therefore if an OT prophecy appears to have actually come true later on, that is good evidence that the passage was written after the fact. And on the other extreme are those fundamentalist scholars, especially of the dispensational persuasion, who will deny that many of the OT prophecies were fulfilled by the first coming of Christ even if the NT writers quote those prophecies in that context, unless there is a word-for-word literal fulfillment. If not, then they will simply state that many OT prophecies have partial fulfillment during Christ's life on earth, with more literal fulfillment yet to come in the last days.
In the middle of these two extreme viewpoints are a vast number of intellectually honest scholarly commentators from various denominations who attempt to make the best sense out of OT prophecies by (1) not demanding that the fulfillment rigidly adhere to a literal meaning, (2) being strongly guided in their judgment by what the NT texts have to say regarding the subject, and (3) denying the dispensational notion that God's main plan on earth is for the Jewish people only, with the Gentiles taking a purely supporting and minor role. The first presupposition makes good sense since one must remember that most OT prophetic passages are found in a poetic context where one would generally not expect literal language to be employed. And the second assumption appears to make the best sense out of the way the NT authors treat Christ's coming and death as having already fulfilled much of what the OT predicted. Lastly, there is much to be said for the view that the emphasis of some, but not all, dispensationalist scholars on the ethnic Jews to the subservience of the Gentile population borders on the heretical.
Complicating this whole issue is another factor brought up by Childs: “The inability to reach a consensus on the dating of the book has left unresolved the historical context for interpretation. As a result, few Old Testament books reflect such a chaos of conflicting interpretations.”
With all that background, it becomes obvious that it is almost impossible for me to present an impartial, complete, and systematic treatment of what all sides have to say regarding any large chunk of OT prophecy, but I will give it a try with the tenth chapter of Zechariah as an example. And to sort out the players somewhat, I have labelled each person's comment as best I could with their general prophetic stance as either liberal (L), scholarly evangelical/conservative (E), or dispensational/fundamentalist (F). The “E” category includes a hodgepodge of historical premillennialists, amillennialists and other scholars who have no particular prior theological axe to grind. But these divisions should not be taken too seriously since, as you may see below, there is a great deal of overlap between these three categories.
To start with, you will not find it uncommon in commentaries of a more liberal nature (such as that of Redditt) to spend the majority of their words reviewing all the generally contradictory theories propounded to explain OT prophecy books as works in progress to which a number of ancient writers contributed, continually update earlier predictions in order to bring them in line with the latest historical events. In other words, to change the predictions so that they better matched what really happened later on. Thus, Redditt feels he has identified four original sources pieced together by a later editor (called a redactor in scholarly terms) in order to produce chapters 9-14 of Zechariah as we have them today. If this view is correct then of course such “prophecy after the fact” is actually no meaningful prophecy at all, and we are totally wasting our time trying to look for any future fulfillment.
Chisholm (F) demonstrates graphically how Chapter 10 relates to the previous chapter in a reverse manner:
1. The Lord delivers the exiles (9:11-12)
2. The Lord energizes Judah and Ephraim for battle (9:13-15)
3. The Lord shepherds and blesses his people (9:16-17)
4. Blessing is offered in the present (10:1)
3'. The Lord shepherds and blesses his people (10:2-3b)
2'. The Lord energizes Judah and Ephraim for battle (10:3c-7)
1'. The Lord delivers the exiles (10:8-11:3)
It is of interest that Bullock, also coming from a dispensational background, endorses the slightly different symmetrical arrangement of Joyce Baldwin:
1. Arrival of the king (9:9-10)
2. Jubilation and prosperity (9:11-10:1)
3. Rebuke for sham leaders (10:2-3a)
2'. Jubilation and prosperity (10:3b-11:3)
1'. The fate of the good shepherd (11:4-17)
Despite the obvious differences between these two schemes, they do seem to go a long way toward showing that not all prophetic passages in the Bible are given in a strictly chronological order, a fact which some fundamentalists are still reluctant to accept.
Zechariah 10:1-5 “The form of this short pericope [i.e. vv. 1-2] is that of a Mahnwort (admonition). The writer returns from his look at the eschatological future salvation, to the present evil age...The prophet here admonishes his hearers to ask rain of Yahweh, who controls the clouds, and not from the terephim. A further warning is given in v. 2 against diviners and dreamers who speak falsely...The pericope ends with an observation that the people wander aimlessly because they have no shepherd to guide them in the right path...The setting may be a prophetic admonition during the New Year festival about 500 B.C.” (Smith) (E)
“After an initial exhortation to seek prosperity, not from deceitful diviners, but only from the Lord (Zech 10:1-2), the Lord himself speaks words of judgment against Israel's faithless leaders (shepherds), but words of promise to the people (flock) themselves. In an arresting image, he says that he will transform this flock into his magnificent warhorse and will lead them to victory over their enemies (Zech 10:3). He also makes the remarkable promise that he will bring back from foreign lands not only the exiles of Judah, but also those of the erstwhile northern kingdom...who had been deported by the Assyrians some two centuries earlier. In another enigmatic passage with messianic overtones (Zech 10:4), he states that out of Judah will come the cornerstone, the peg, the battle bow and 'every ruler together.'” (Wolter) (E)
“Dissatisfied with the incompetent leaders he appointed over his people, the Lord himself would assume the position of Judah's shepherd (10:3b). He would transform Judah into a mighty military force, compared here to a warhorse (3c). The Lord's power would give Judah stability and enable them to defeat their enemies (vv. 4-5).” (Chisholm) (F)
“Both OT [including Zechariah 10:2-3] and later Jewish literature are replete with references to leaders who fail to perform their God-given responsibilities and as a result render their charge vulnerable to attack.” (Kostenberger) (E)
The evangelical scholar Mark Boda expends roughly forty pages of his detailed commentary on Zechariah just on chapter 10. He sticks strictly to what Zechariah is presenting without additional speculations.
It is absolutely impossible to adequately summarize the almost 60 pages Meyers and Meyers (L) devote to this one chapter of Zechariah, so a few random comments by them will have to suffice. They feel that “the last verse of chapter 9 presents a condition that will be the result of what is described in verse 1 of chapter 10. In a sense, the two verses dovetail, because 10:1 sets forth the conditions – ample and appropriately timed rainfall – that produce the fertility described in 9:17 as well as at the end of 10:1. Not only does the first verse of this chapter provide a link with the previous one, but its first words – 'Ask of Yahweh' – also constitute an anticipation, by way of contrast with the next verse (10:2) of this chapter...This exhortation to ask Yahweh for the conditions of material well-being initiates a chapter containing literary and thematic forms that have aroused much scholarly discussion...At this point, we simply indicate their views, each of which have merit, are not necessarily antithetical; many elements of both perspectives help our understanding of this complex chapter.”
Although Meyers and Meyers were specifically talking of two particular Bible scholars when they made that last comment, it really holds true for all the somewhat competing interpretations one may encounter. In fact, most of the scholars I quote in this post tend to supplement one another to give us a fuller picture of what Zechariah has to say. The exceptions are those arch-liberal writers who concentrate only on the prior sources that supposedly make up our present text while the fundamentalists often care about nothing but when and exactly how the predictions will eventually take place. In my mind, this attention to the distant past or the uncertain future leaves the average reader in the dark concerning the actual importance of the verses for the here and now.
Zechariah 10:6-12 “Through the OT prophets.., God promised both before the exile and after the initial return from exile, that he would regather his exiled people and reconstruct the twelve tribes (Zech. 10:6-12, etc.) – promises that lived on in later Judaism...Jesus himself links his choice of twelve apostles to the twelve tribes of Israel (Matt. 19:38; cf. Luke 22:30), and the last book of the Bible pictures the people of God in the last days as the sum of twelve thousands drawn from each of the twelve tribes. These themes prove to be enormously evocative, and debates rage over (1) the extent to which these references to the twelve tribes refer to empirical, racial Israel or in typological fashion, to the eschatological Israel of the new covenant; (2) the extent to which the years of exile ended with Cyrus's decree or continued until the time of Jesus as the Davidic king introduced the long-promised kingdom, or continue yet until the consummation...” (Carson) (E)
Smith (E) summarizes the material in these verses as follows: The section [defined by him as vv. 3-12] consists of both the words of God (vv 3a, 6, and 8-10) and the words of the prophet (vv 3b-5, 7, 11-12). “The pericope opens with the words of Yahweh announcing this judgment against the shepherds (whoever they are). This seems to be eschatological language. Yahweh will judge the unjust rulers because he cares for his flock, the house of Judah. From Judah will come reliable leaders: a cornerstone, a tent-peg, a battle-bow, and a beneficent overseer (v 4).”
“Messiah will regather all Israel (10:6-10) The worldwide scope of this prophecy relating to both Israel and Judah and God's activity on behalf of His Chosen People indicate that the final regathering of Israel just before the Second Advent of the Messiah is in view.” (Lindsey) (F)
“God...defends Jerusalem, to which her king comes in triumph bringing peace among all nations (vv. 9-10), words later quoted in the New Testament and used of the triumphal entry of Jesus into Jerusalem (Matt. 21:1-9)...So much is obscure in these chapters that interpretation of them can be only tentative. The view that they came from a sharply eschatological party that found itself increasingly at odds with the official priesthood and Temple, and so looked for a more and more radical intervention of God, would account for much that is here.” (Mason) (L)
“Assyria and Egypt here represent oppressors in general. Gilead was the first territory to be conquered after the Exodus, cf. Is 40:3+” (Brown on v. 10) (E)
Zechariah 10:11-12 “In regathering Israel to the land, God will remove every obstacle to restoration, pictured in terms of the ancient deliverance when He brought Israel through the sea on dry land. Again Assyria and Egypt were mentioned to represent all Israel's enemies (cf. v. 10).” (Lindsey) (F)
“The lesser role of Gentiles in the millennium is the subject of many Old Testament Scriptures such as the following: (...Zechariah 10:11-12).” (Walvoord) (F)
“The OT prophesies that this judgment [of Babylon] would include the drying up of the Euphrates River (Isa. 11:15; 44:27; Jer. 50:38; 51:36; cf. Zech. 10:11). The prophecy was fulfilled by Cyrus's diversion of the river (cf. Isa. 44:27-28), which allowed his army to cross the river, enter Babylon unexpectedly and defeat it (Herodotus 1.190-91...)...The victory by Cyrus led to Israel's release from captivity (Isa. 44:26-28; 45:13).” (Beale) (E)
Carson (E) agrees with Beale concerning the fulfillment of this prophecy.
In conclusion, it is interesting to compare the above with the historical premillennial analysis of Zechariah 10 by Payne (F) as he attempts to parse out the various verses found in that chapter according to the most likely times of fulfillment, either during the Old Testament period (O), New Testament (N), or yet future (Ft). Below is a summary of his analyses:
10:3, false leaders fall (O)
10:8a, redemption won (N)
10:8b, others gathered, increase (church?) (N)
10:9, believers live, though scattered (N)
10:10, the church will be raptured and brought with Christ to Palestine (Ft)
10:11a, rivers dry up (Rev 16:12) (Ft)
10:11b, world powers are brought down (Ft)
10:12, the saints rule (Rev 2:26) (Ft)
As you can see, he appears to take Zechariah 10 as a more or less chronological presentation, a stance with which not all scholars would agree as can be seen in the more literary and topical arrangements shown above.
